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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Central Florida

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:103.0
Current RPI:103
Expected SOS:122
Current Record:18-11
Expected Record:18-11
Current Conf Record:9-7
Expected Conf Record:9-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:136
Expected OOC SOS:195


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1162.07%103.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10South Florida (156.0)BEA56-74W100%0.0
11-13Alabama St. (328.0)SWACH85-56W100%0.0
11-18Savannah St. (166.0)MEACH53-50W100%0.0
11-20Middle Tennessee (28.0)SBH61-75L0%0.0
11-23Florida (7.0)SECA79-66L0%0.0
12-12Bethune Cookman (277.0)MEACH72-62W100%0.0
12-14Old Dominion (318.0)CAAA71-75W100%0.0
12-18Miami FL (4.0)ACCH50-72L0%0.0
12-20Stetson (220.0)ASunH83-66W100%0.0
12-28Howard (334.0)MEACH62-45W100%0.0
12-29Belmont (21.0)OVCH66-63W100%0.0
1-2South Florida (156.0)BEH56-65L0%0.0
1-5Florida A&M (331.0)MEACH99-69W100%0.0
1-9UAB (144.0)CUSAH64-48W100%0.0
1-12East Carolina (100.0)CUSAA88-85L0%0.0
1-19Houston (197.0)CUSAA75-79W100%0.0
1-23Rice (324.0)CUSAH78-67W100%0.0
1-26Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAH74-65W100%0.0
1-30Tulane (175.0)CUSAA50-58W100%0.0
2-2Marshall (208.0)CUSAA75-71L0%0.0
2-6Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAH60-58W100%0.0
2-9East Carolina (100.0)CUSAH83-73W100%0.0
2-13Memphis (12.0)CUSAA93-71L0%0.0
2-16Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAA73-58L0%0.0
2-20Marshall (208.0)CUSAH70-82L0%0.0
2-23Tulsa (127.0)CUSAH83-75W100%0.0
3-2Memphis (12.0)CUSAH67-76L0%0.0
3-6UAB (144.0)CUSAA70-74W100%0.0
3-9Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAA70-62L0%0.0